Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 3.949598 4.241809 4.554152 4.914404 5.320403 5.766112 6.295602
2025-05-11 3.455224 3.859818 4.320060 4.888555 5.580756 6.408291 7.491621
2025-05-18 3.133382 3.590753 4.132877 4.834815 5.738291 6.890137 8.519765
2025-05-25 2.863707 3.341367 3.924449 4.706031 5.755313 7.162554 9.285303
2025-06-01 2.667509 3.158626 3.772884 4.620682 5.801125 7.457475 10.109310
2025-06-08 2.542865 3.052656 3.705016 4.630994 5.967240 7.929771 11.274644
2025-06-15 2.457133 2.988150 3.682603 4.695440 6.209722 8.539669 12.783713
2025-06-22 2.306048 2.826584 3.516458 4.539732 6.104315 8.585431 13.311352
2025-06-29 2.188715 2.703113 3.393668 4.434941 6.062744 8.723859 14.033143
2025-07-06 2.090345 2.599750 3.291825 4.351656 6.043864 8.893224 14.847865
2025-07-13 2.021583 2.533230 3.237396 4.334125 6.126750 9.247690 16.132382
2025-07-20 1.985886 2.510413 3.243319 4.407910 6.365937 9.918115 18.316645
2025-07-27 1.946784 2.483571 3.245611 4.482556 6.626729 10.698826 21.137010
2025-08-03 1.885446 2.422419 3.194218 4.468239 6.731518 11.195067 23.464124
2025-08-10 1.820955 2.353499 3.126959 4.422117 6.772175 11.563744 25.608461
2025-08-17 1.745041 2.264569 3.024547 4.309791 6.676668 11.618304 26.805838
2025-08-24 1.683528 2.194401 2.947570 4.235193 6.645652 11.814195 28.597263
2025-08-31 1.645752 2.157834 2.920718 4.244212 6.778010 12.416747 32.251916
2025-09-07 1.621031 2.139598 2.921350 4.300544 7.010723 13.315210 37.847538
2025-09-14 1.555918 2.057875 2.817373 4.164346 6.833062 13.130061 38.475960
2025-09-21 1.503850 1.994432 2.740345 4.072501 6.741130 13.160507 40.242152
2025-09-28 1.458628 1.940010 2.675712 3.999400 6.682469 13.272491 42.569487
2025-10-05 1.427701 1.906545 2.643699 3.984000 6.746890 13.741609 47.405187